Irrational Exuberance: Revised and Expanded Third Edition

Front Cover
Princeton University Press, Jan 25, 2015 - Business & Economics - 392 pages

Why the irrational exuberance of investors hasn't disappeared since the financial crisis

In this revised, updated, and expanded edition of his New York Times bestseller, Nobel Prize–winning economist Robert Shiller, who warned of both the tech and housing bubbles, cautions that signs of irrational exuberance among investors have only increased since the 2008–9 financial crisis. With high stock and bond prices and the rising cost of housing, the post-subprime boom may well turn out to be another illustration of Shiller's influential argument that psychologically driven volatility is an inherent characteristic of all asset markets. In other words, Irrational Exuberance is as relevant as ever. Previous editions covered the stock and housing markets—and famously predicted their crashes. This edition expands its coverage to include the bond market, so that the book now addresses all of the major investment markets. It also includes updated data throughout, as well as Shiller's 2013 Nobel Prize lecture, which places the book in broader context. In addition to diagnosing the causes of asset bubbles, Irrational Exuberance recommends urgent policy changes to lessen their likelihood and severity—and suggests ways that individuals can decrease their risk before the next bubble bursts. No one whose future depends on a retirement account, a house, or other investments can afford not to read this book.

 

Contents

The Stock Market in Historical Perspective
1
The Bond Market in Historical Perspective
11
The Real Estate Market in Historical Perspective
18
Part One Structural Factors
37
Part Two Cultural Factors
99
Part Three Psychological Factors
163
Part Four Attempts to Rationalize Exuberance
193
Part Five A Call to Action
223
Speculative Asset Prices
239
Notes
281
References
321
Index
339
Copyright

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About the author (2015)

Robert J. Shiller, the recipient of the 2013 Nobel Prize in economics, is a bestselling author, a regular contributor to the Economic View column of the New York Times, and a professor of economics at Yale University. For more information, please go to www.irrationalexuberance.com.

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